Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.411764 0.484755 0.565034 0.659623 0.767755 0.887233 1.028953
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.302170 0.399198 0.516629 0.668067 0.856909 1.083259 1.373578
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.231477 0.338178 0.478388 0.673440 0.934631 1.268808 1.724572
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.182557 0.291792 0.446124 0.675340 1.001355 1.441699 2.073179
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.149891 0.259764 0.425333 0.685693 1.075668 1.627085 2.451650
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.123492 0.230901 0.402732 0.687410 1.134122 1.791961 2.812455
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.098187 0.198051 0.367527 0.662910 1.147565 1.889276 3.080154
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.086319 0.185807 0.363314 0.686102 1.235595 2.103385 3.536036
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.075588 0.173307 0.356254 0.702603 1.312954 2.305438 3.986586
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.069992 0.169632 0.364163 0.745446 1.437471 2.590920 4.587332
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.059820 0.154338 0.347721 0.741563 1.479828 2.743801 4.982983
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.050615 0.139104 0.328829 0.730141 1.506539 2.870839 5.342532
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.042984 0.126011 0.312664 0.722726 1.541253 3.016821 5.749204
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.038171 0.118707 0.307694 0.737215 1.618704 3.243936 6.311606
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.033553 0.110807 0.300097 0.745118 1.683811 3.453166 6.855837
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.029280 0.102765 0.290798 0.747973 1.738690 3.646865 7.383746
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.026076 0.096947 0.285820 0.759591 1.812113 3.879768 7.996430
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.022829 0.090131 0.277178 0.761582 1.865205 4.076835 8.553721
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.018840 0.079773 0.257504 0.734825 1.853740 4.146666 8.874779
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.017398 0.077547 0.259260 0.760211 1.958640 4.453743 9.666395
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.015842 0.074481 0.258162 0.778262 2.048468 4.735697 10.424023
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.015325 0.075143 0.267888 0.825093 2.207760 5.169086 11.500962
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.013372 0.069667 0.258538 0.820851 2.247878 5.357379 12.100214